Return on capital, drives return on share price

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Angelina Wu00:05 Play

Now the partner and portfolio manager of Hebrew Investment Partners, Mr. Ben Rundle, just joined the call.

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Angelina Wu00:12 Play

Some background of the Hebrew Opportunities Fund.

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Angelina Wu00:16 Play

It is a long-only, small-cap Australian equities fund investing in a portfolio of 20 to 40 high-quality, small to mid-sized ASX listed equities.

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Angelina Wu00:29 Play

They believe companies exhibit a greater degree of pricing inefficiency over their larger counterparts, which can cause a large variation between the company's trading price and their assessment of a company's market value.

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Angelina Wu00:45 Play

Bain has 17 years of experience in financial markets, previously experienced working in Nausea Asset Management, Morris Company, Ominet, Macquarie Bank, and Taylor Collison.

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Angelina Wu00:57 Play

Ben's topic today is return on capital drives return on share price.

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Angelina Wu01:03 Play

Welcome, Ben, to the webinar.

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Ben Rundle01:06 Play

Thank you.

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Ben Rundle01:06 Play

Thank you for having me.

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Ben Rundle01:07 Play

Thank you for investment markets.

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Ben Rundle01:09 Play

Hello, everyone.

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Ben Rundle01:10 Play

My name's Ben Rundle.

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Ben Rundle01:11 Play

I'm the founder of Haber Investment Partners and the Haber Opportunities Fund.

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Ben Rundle01:17 Play

So I'll spend just a couple of minutes just quickly introducing myself and the fund in our process and then I want to talk to you about two real-life examples of listed companies on the ASX operating in very similar sectors and look at quickly why one has done so much better than the other and

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Ben Rundle01:37 Play

So just starting with the team.

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Ben Rundle01:38 Play

So myself, obviously I've been in the markets now for about 17 years.

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Ben Rundle01:43 Play

I started on the stock broking side and moved on funds management about eight and a half, nine years ago.

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Ben Rundle01:49 Play

My business partner, George Capozzi has been in the markets for 20 years.

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Ben Rundle01:53 Play

He's been doing small caps for a significant period of that time.

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Ben Rundle01:58 Play

And our chairman, Jeff Ellison is the founder of a company called C-Link.

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Ben Rundle02:01 Play

Well, it's actually called Kelsia now, which is an ASX listed company.

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Ben Rundle02:05 Play

He'd been out of administration in 1994, I think it was, and now it's a one and a half billion dollar business.

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Ben Rundle02:11 Play

And he exhibits a lot of the traits that we look for in our management teams of the companies we invest in.

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Ben Rundle02:18 Play

Just a bit on our business.

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Ben Rundle02:19 Play

So we launched our fund in March 2021.

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Ben Rundle02:21 Play

So we're a little over two years old.

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Ben Rundle02:24 Play

Our performance in that time has been 27% versus the small cap index, which is down four and a half percent.

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Ben Rundle02:31 Play

We launched with $10 million in FUM in funds under management, and we're sitting at about $50 million now.

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Ben Rundle02:37 Play

George and I are the largest unit holders in the fund.

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Ben Rundle02:41 Play

At our two-year anniversary, we were crowned the highest performing small mid-career in Australia, according to Morningstar, out of about 200 funds.

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Ben Rundle02:49 Play

So that was a pleasing result.

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Ben Rundle02:51 Play

And we're available on some of the more popular investment platforms for financial advisors to be able to allocate to our fund.

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Ben Rundle03:00 Play

There's essentially five pillars to our investment philosophy in the way that we invest.

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Ben Rundle03:05 Play

The first is our circle of competence.

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Ben Rundle03:07 Play

We don't know everything.

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Ben Rundle03:08 Play

There's two and a half thousand listed companies.

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Ben Rundle03:09 Play

We try to stick to a very small subset of those of about 150 businesses that we know we've been following for a long time.

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Ben Rundle03:17 Play

We have financial models on.

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Ben Rundle03:19 Play

and we build a portfolio of 40 stocks out of that universe.

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Ben Rundle03:24 Play

We really like businesses where the management team own a significant stake in their business.

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Ben Rundle03:29 Play

We like founder-led.

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Ben Rundle03:30 Play

Most of our portfolio is run by founders of their business.

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Ben Rundle03:34 Play

And we really like companies with very strong cultures.

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Ben Rundle03:36 Play

We've found that over time, businesses that do have a strong culture have a very high and consistent track record of taking market share from incumbents, particularly the larger, more bureaucratic competitors that they operate against.

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Ben Rundle03:49 Play

And then on the numbers, we really like businesses which have a high return on capital and I'll show you the example of why we like that as a core part of our investment process.

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Ben Rundle03:59 Play

And then finally, no business is so good that we'll own it at any valuation.

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Ben Rundle04:03 Play

Valuation is a really important factor of our process and how we try to limit mistakes in the portfolio.

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Ben Rundle04:10 Play

So the examples of the companies that I want to briefly take you through are two ASX listed companies.

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Ben Rundle04:17 Play

They're both of a similar size, roughly around $1.5 billion market cap, each of these businesses.

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Ben Rundle04:24 Play

The first is lifestyle communities.

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Ben Rundle04:26 Play

LIC is the code and Engenia communities is one of their competitors and the code there is INA.

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Ben Rundle04:36 Play

Now the businesses aren't exactly alike.

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Ben Rundle04:38 Play

There are some subtle differences between the two, but really they both operate in the retirement living community sector.

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Ben Rundle04:45 Play

And it's worth noting that both have actually been fairly strong performers in that space, but we'll look at why one's been such a strong performer

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Ben Rundle04:55 Play

over the other and the way that we've done that is by looking at a five-year return analysis from 2017 to 2022.

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Ben Rundle05:02 Play

Now the reasons to 22 and not 23 is because the numbers haven't been announced yet for 23 we hope to get those next month.

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Ben Rundle05:09 Play

So it's a backwards looking view but it gives us the benefit of hindsight to know what the numbers look like, what the starting valuations look like and why one company's done better than the other.

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Ben Rundle05:19 Play

So if we start with probably the most common financial numbers you'll see in an analyst report, the growth in their profit, the growth in their net assets, and the starting valuation of what we've bought each company at in 2017.

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Ben Rundle05:35 Play

So that's the valuation of the business in 2017.

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Ben Rundle05:38 Play

So you can see over that time, Ingenie has grown their profits over 100%, Lifestyle Communities has been lower than that.

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Ben Rundle05:45 Play

Ingenia is growing their net assets at almost 200% which outpaces lifestyle communities again.

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Ben Rundle05:52 Play

And there's a starting valuation of Ingenia of 0.9 times its book value versus lifestyle communities, which is almost three times its book value.

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Ben Rundle06:00 Play

So you're paying a lot less for lifestyle.

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Ben Rundle06:03 Play

So for Ingenia than you are for lifestyle, and you're getting a lot more profit and asset growth.

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Ben Rundle06:08 Play

But if we look at the share price performance over that period, investors have made almost three times more money invested in lifestyle communities versus in Genia.

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Ben Rundle06:18 Play

And we believe the reason is, so if we go back to that chart that I just showed you a minute ago of the growth in profit and the growth in assets.

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Ben Rundle06:25 Play

The bottom chart here is numbers that we prefer to look at in analysing a company.

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Ben Rundle06:29 Play

So the first is the growth in contributed capital, so how much capital it's taken for a company to actually grow, how much capital has gone into the business.

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Ben Rundle06:37 Play

The second is return on equity and then the final piece is look at the incremental returns on capital.

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Ben Rundle06:43 Play

And you can see there that to get their results, Ingenia has grown their contributed capital by over 100%.

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Ben Rundle06:49 Play

So it's the equivalent of having a bank account with $100 in it and putting another $100 in it and having $200.

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Ben Rundle06:54 Play

You haven't really actually created value.

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Ben Rundle06:57 Play

Whereas Lifestyle Communities hasn't grown their contributed capital barely at all during that period.

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Ben Rundle07:03 Play

They've had a much higher return on equity and you can see that the incremental returns on capital are so much higher.

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Ben Rundle07:10 Play

That's driven a vastly different outcome, sorry go back to the previous slide, of making literally three times more money invested in lifestyle communities despite being valued at three times higher at the starting process.

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Ben Rundle07:24 Play

That's the framework that we like to use, if you like, from looking at a company and from our historical track record and our experience in markets, it's the track record of companies being able to allocate their capital successfully that can drive share prices going forward.

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Ben Rundle07:41 Play

And we have actually found that historical views on capital allocation have been a pretty good indicator for future returns on their capital and therefore future returns on their share price.

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Ben Rundle07:54 Play

So just to summarize, the ideal company for us that we look at is founder-led.

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Ben Rundle07:59 Play

We really like companies that have high insider ownership.

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Ben Rundle08:02 Play

The management team treat their capital as if it's their own because it is.

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Ben Rundle08:06 Play

We really dislike share issuance, so we dislike capital raisings on the market, so we like low issuance of shares, high returns on capital, companies going through an earnings growth phase.

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Ben Rundle08:16 Play

In small caps, we tend to find that a lot of businesses can be undiscovered by the wider market, and we have a very favourable bias towards a high cultural within the business as well.

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Ben Rundle08:28 Play

So that's a quick sort of 10 minute overview of Haber and what we do and how we do it.

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Ben Rundle08:33 Play

So I invite any questions that you might have.

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Angelina Wu08:37 Play

Thanks, Ben.

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Angelina Wu08:38 Play

I recall you mentioned in your presentation that you like to analyze a company's culture.

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Angelina Wu08:45 Play

I get that.

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Angelina Wu08:46 Play

But how do you do that?

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Ben Rundle08:48 Play

Yeah, that's where the hard work kicks in.

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Ben Rundle08:49 Play

So it's not as easy as just pulling up a spreadsheet and looking at the financial numbers, you actually have to go out and talk to people.

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Ben Rundle08:57 Play

So we spend a lot of our time speaking to not only the businesses themselves, but also their suppliers, their competitors.

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Ben Rundle09:05 Play

People who have operated in the industry can give us a fairly good flavor of how that company operates as well as lower level management So we obviously as fund managers get to speak to the management teams pretty regularly But we it's a lot harder to get access to lower level employees There are easy ways to do it of looking at things websites like Glassdoor and that sort of thing But we prefer to actually speak to people in the business and the industry to get a better view of what we're investing in

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Angelina Wu09:33 Play

And why do you have a bias towards founder-led management teams?

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Ben Rundle09:38 Play

Well, founder-led management teams, given that they have so much money on the line invested in these companies, we're a big believer in incentives drive outcomes.

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Ben Rundle09:46 Play

So if you have a management team who owns 10 to 20% of the business, they're going to make decisions very differently from a company that

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Ben Rundle09:53 Play

Has a management team that doesn't necessarily have a stake in their business.

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Ben Rundle09:56 Play

They might have options that they get granted through Not having to put their hands in their own pockets, but that can drive very different outcomes and incentives to us in particularly small growing businesses really drive strong outcomes in share price returns and

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Angelina Wu10:14 Play

That makes sense.

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Ben Rundle10:15 Play

Thank you, Ben.

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Ben Rundle10:17 Play

Lifestyle communities and Ingenia, lifestyle communities have found a lead business, whereas Ingenia is not.

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Ben Rundle10:22 Play

You can see the differences in the returns between those two businesses.

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Angelina Wu10:29 Play

Yeah, makes sense.

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Angelina Wu10:31 Play

Thank you, Ben.

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Angelina Wu10:32 Play

It's great to see you.

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Ben Rundle10:33 Play

Excellent.

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Ben Rundle10:33 Play

Thanks for having me on.

Return on capital, drives return on share price

3 years ago

Changes in a company’s return on capital is often overlooked by investors, in favour of simple valuation metrics around current earnings. In this presentation Ben will compare two separate companies in the same industry that have produced vastly different results for investors, based on how their capital has been spent. The Hayborough Opportunities Fund is a long only, small cap Australian Equities Fund investing in a portfolio of 20-40 high quality, small to mid sized ASX listed equities. Ben Rundle has 17 years’ experience in financial markets, previous experience working in NAOS Asset Management, Moelis & Company, Ord Minnett, Macquarie Bank and Taylor Collison.

Disclaimer

  • • The presentations made during this seminar are for informational and promotional purposes only.

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  • • These presentations were made as at 25-27 July, 2023 and therefore relevant facts, the economic environment, governing documentation and the law upon which they were based may change after that date such that the accuracy and reliability of their content may be affected.

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