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Prepare for volatility

After three straight months of global equity markets rallying driven by expectations that the Fed has paused its rate raising cycle, volatility is currently unusually and arguably unsustainably low. The historical data suggests it’s unlikely this situation will continue for much longer. In short, it’s probably the right time to prepare for volatility to return in the coming weeks or months.

SharesInvestor EducationAsset Allocation
1 Feb 2024
 · Simon Turner
 · 5 MIN READ

Positioning, positioning, positioning: the key to 2024 outperformance

As a new year kicks off, investors face an investment landscape which doesn’t resemble many past periods. After the fastest interest rate rising cycle in history, the impacts of higher interest rates are still filtering through whilst two wars continue to rage, US Government debt levels reach unprecedented levels, and global growth is expected to run at well below trend.

Investor EducationAsset AllocationFixed Interest
11 Jan 2024
 · Simon Turner
 · 6 MIN READ

Where the inflation monster does most of its work

The recent Australian Consumer Sentiment Snapshot reveals Aussie consumers have one particular economic factor front of mind… inflation. The inflation monster is impacting upon consumers’ disposable incomes, and more importantly it’s causing havoc in consumers’ minds where it’s doing most of its insidious work. It’s this growing awareness and fear of inflation which suggests we may be on track for inflation to trend higher than markets (and central bankers) currently believe. If that is indeed the case, the investment implications are significant…

MacroInvestor EducationAsset Allocation
9 Nov 2023
 · Simon Turner
 · 8 MIN READ

The inverted yield dilemma

You may have heard the classic joke about economists… Economists were created to make weather forecasters and astrologers feel better about the accuracy of their predictions. US economists have certainly lived up to this stereotype of late. There’s rarely been a period when economists have been more wrong-footed by a strengthening economy.

Investor EducationMacroAsset Allocation
17 Aug 2023
 · Simon Turner
 · 5 MIN READ

Dividend investors could be shouting more drinks

The world of yield investing has been through a dramatic transformation in recent months as central bankers have raised rates at an unusually aggressive pace. Equity and bond markets have fast adapted to this new world order, but what happens if the current yield split between equities and bonds doesn’t apportion risk fairly?

SharesMacroAsset Allocation
28 July 2023
 · Simon Turner
 · 5 MIN READ

Is it time to revisit fixed income?

Choosing what to invest in can be as difficult as maintaining a good diet. We all know we should eat healthily, yet how exciting would life be if we were always munching down on a quinoa and kale salad, leaving no room for an expensive steak, or a bag of your favourite lollies? Likewise, reliable, lower-risk bonds generally won't keep you up at night with wild price swings, yet do they offer the necessary returns available in riskier and perhaps more exciting asset classes?

Fixed InterestAsset AllocationInvestor Education
27 July 2023
 · Mark Garro
 · 5 MIN READ

When tailwinds turn into headwinds

Commercial property has been a staple source of solid income returns and capital growth for decades, particularly in the unlisted world. However, a number of the strongest commercial property tailwinds have recently turned into headwinds, impacting upon the outlook for the various commercial property asset classes. Should investors reduce their commercial property exposure, or are these headwinds a short term opportunity in the making?

PropertyAsset AllocationInvestor Education
23 June 2023
 · Simon Turner
 · 7 MIN READ

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