Within a month or so, what may be the largest listing in stock market history is expected to list on the Nasdaq. Anthropic, the company behind the Claude family of AI models, is heading for public markets at a valuation up to US$2 trillion.
Inflation remains one of the more important investment inputs investors need to get their heads around. It truly influences what you should own if you’re aiming to outperform.
Inflation remains one of the more important investment inputs investors need to get their heads around. It truly influences what you should own if you’re aiming to outperform.
Older Australians, like their counterparts in most developed markets, are travelling more often, staying longer and spending more when they arrive. It’s one of the more visible investment themes in the world today.
Just when you thought the Trump administration had surprised investors into a state of expecting anything, they went and restricted foreign access to Anthropic’s advanced AI models due to national security concerns. Whilst those restrictions were later lifted, the incident highlighted how trigger-happy the US Government has become when it comes to interpreting what’s in the country’s national interests, including across the free markets the US used to advocate for.
The global space industry is moving from episodic innovation to commercial scale. Falling launch costs, improving rocket reusability, and rising demand for satellite-enabled connectivity and data are changing the economics of space. Once a prestige domain defined by government-led missions, space is now an infrastructure layer for modern communications, geospatial intelligence, defence systems, and emerging compute applications.
Australia’s GDP rose 0.3% in the March quarter and 2.5% over the year. While that’s not recessionary, it’s hardly exuberant and was once again negative in per capita terms. The main headwinds are subdued household and government consumption, while adverse weather hampered mining production and exports. On a more positive note, there’s been a lift in business investment linked to data centre machinery and equipment.
We all know the long list of benefits of investing in ETFs, but the passive fund boom has reached the stage where narratives can sometimes reign supreme. The risk is that the recent wave of ETF launches, particularly in thematic, single-stock, options-enhanced, and actively managed strategies, is partially shaped by investor demand for exposure to recent winners rather than enduring sources of return.
April confirmed what markets had begun to suspect: the global macro backdrop has changed. Higher geopolitical risk is now structurally entrenched. Markets have quickly adjusted to this unfortunate new reality across all asset classes. Geopolitical risk has reasserted itself as a primary driver of energy prices, inflation expectations, and capital flows. Investors still anchored to the old world of low inflation, cheap money, and frictionless globalisation risk being structurally mispositioned.
Over the past decade, we’ve witnessed the barriers to investing falling one after another thanks to technology, regulatory change, and product innovation. As a result, a space that was once dominated by institutions and high-net-worth individuals has become radically accessible.
Buckle up. Markets are undergoing a structural shift. The era of easy gains driven by liquidity and exposure to US big tech appears to be fading. In its place is emerging a more selective environment defined by rising geopolitical risk, elevated inflationary pressures, and widening dispersion between companies, sectors, and asset classes.
2026 is emerging as a year when it pays to understand what’s happening beneath the surface of markets. Whilst global equity markets have been weaker, there have been a number of consequential sectoral shifts behind the index headlines, some of which have insulated savvy investors from the broader weakness. Moreover, some of these shifts may be here to stay, determining the market outlook for the full year and beyond.
If you’re a news reader, you’re probably feeling like the world is engulfed in a crisis with no end date in sight. It sure feels like that as bad story after bad story is channelled toward news consumers around the world. Take your pick of which one that matters most. Trump’s latest offensive tweet, the housing shortage, the cost of living, the system, the list goes on.