Global investment sentiment gauges have rarely been this bullish, and history says that’s precisely when investors should pay closer attention.
Here’s what the data shows and what it means.
Most market commentaries explain major price moves after the fact with tidy causes that sound obvious only in hindsight. In my opinion, that’s not an intellectually honest approach in the current environment.
Access to the investing world has exploded in the last few decades. Investors may once have required brokers to do their trading, or apply directly to fund managers to invest. These days, investors have a range of options, direct and indirect for their holdings.
Most market commentaries explain major price moves after the fact with tidy causes that sound obvious only in hindsight. In my opinion, that’s not an intellectually honest approach in the current environment.
Access to the investing world has exploded in the last few decades. Investors may once have required brokers to do their trading, or apply directly to fund managers to invest. These days, investors have a range of options, direct and indirect for their holdings.
Australian households are carrying some of the highest debt loads in the developed world, yet the Reserve Bank is still weighing whether to raise rates again. In the event the inflation print due out on July 29th runs hot, a fourth RBA rate rise may become more likely than not.
Recently, I detailed the 250-year rise of the industrial property sector, a transformation that has seen it evolve from the physical backbone of early manufacturing and storage into one of the most critical forms of modern economic infrastructure.
AI has quickly established an integral role in fund managers’ investment processes. For most, it has already become an integral part of their investing machinery. Fund managers are using it to read more, screen faster, test risks earlier and monitor their portfolios across larger pools of data.
The Australian share market has spent much of the past decade lagging global equities, as investors increasingly looked offshore for structural growth opportunities in areas such as artificial intelligence. Yet while broad local market returns have disappointed relative to global shares, income-oriented strategies have quietly emerged as some of the strongest performing domestic equity strategies.
If you’re a fund and/or ETF investor, you’ll be familiar with fund factsheets. These fund summaries are designed to inform investors, but it’s also well-known that marketing teams often use them to present their funds attractively.
Just when you thought the Trump administration had surprised investors into a state of expecting anything, they went and restricted foreign access to Anthropic’s advanced AI models due to national security concerns. Whilst those restrictions were later lifted, the incident highlighted how trigger-happy the US Government has become when it comes to interpreting what’s in the country’s national interests, including across the free markets the US used to advocate for.
We invest for all sorts of reasons, but at the core, it’s to improve our financial lives – to afford the things we want or need in life. This is the reason why the terms ‘yield’ and ‘total return’ can be so important when you are choosing an investment – they are not interchangeable, though they are often confused for being so.
Volatility, market commentators reliably assure us, is a buying opportunity. It is a welcome thought in a difficult market, most popular with those not presently experiencing it.
A stick that falls from a tree is nearly worthless.
Yet for centuries, split pieces of wood helped record taxes, debts and financial claims in England. That sounds primitive until you understand what the tally stick actually solved.
Technology has made investing easier than ever. Australian investors can now buy shares, compare ETFs, research managed funds, watch market videos, read fund updates and place trades from their mobiles.
How well is your fixed income investment portfolio expected to perform during an economic shock? Have you considered what could happen to your portfolio if the wrong things happen at the right time? How defensive will your fixed income investments be in the next economic crisis?