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Sequencing Risk: Why Average Returns Don’t Matter

Investors are generally taught to focus on average returns as a gauge of investment success. This makes intuitive sense to most. Over the long run, developed market equities have delivered average returns of around 10% p.a. That solid result has reinforced the advice: stay invested, reinvest your dividends and compounding will do the heavy lifting for you.

9 Mar 2026
 · 6 MIN READ

The Water Is Slowly Warming: Systemic Risks Investors Are Underpricing

Most investors tend to think of systemic risk as something that arrives with a bang, like a banking crisis, a pandemic, or a war. Increasingly, the more realistic systemic dangers are slower to gauge and harder to price. They are an ominous set of interconnected and interacting stresses that have the potential to degrade the very conditions required for markets to compound at all.

4 Mar 2026
 · 8 MIN READ

Why Smart Investors Sell at the Worst Possible Time

Many investors think selling is an easy part of investing that doesn’t require a lot of thought. In contrast, buying is exciting. It requires an understanding of valuation numbers, corporate fundamentals, and the macro environment. For many investors, these are interesting challenges that are an enjoyable part of investing. Yet, selling feels to many like an administrative process that’s executed more out of necessity. It’s the dotting of the investment i’s and the crossing of the t’s that concludes the process.

23 Feb 2026
 · 7 MIN READ

Investing in the Age of Discontent

If you’re a news reader, you’re probably feeling like the world is engulfed in a crisis with no end date in sight. It sure feels like that as bad story after bad story is channelled toward news consumers around the world. Take your pick of which one that matters most. Trump’s latest offensive tweet, the housing shortage, the cost of living, the system, the list goes on.

4 Feb 2026
 · 7 MIN READ

The Cheapest Commodity in the World Right Now

For most of financial history, oil has been the beating heart of the global economy as it has fuelled transport, industry, and economic growth. But in early 2026, oil may well hold a less impressive title: the cheapest major commodity in the world. It’s currently trading at a price that defies historical patterns and conventional market wisdom.

29 Jan 2026
 · 7 MIN READ