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When tailwinds turn into headwinds

Commercial property has been a staple source of solid income returns and capital growth for decades, particularly in the unlisted world. However, a number of the strongest commercial property tailwinds have recently turned into headwinds, impacting upon the outlook for the various commercial property asset classes. Should investors reduce their commercial property exposure, or are these headwinds a short term opportunity in the making?

23 June 2023
 · 7 MIN READ

Unloved. Unwanted. Worthless.

To most people (particularly non-smokers), the idea of picking up a cigar butt from the gutter would rank fairly high on the ‘disgusting’ scale. Lighting it up and taking a few puffs - even more so. After all, there’s a reason people throw things away. Usually, it’s because they’re unloved, unwanted, or worthless. Often all three apply.

13 June 2023
 · 5 MIN READ

What the bull-bear spread is telling us

Most of the world’s great investors are experts at using market sentiment to their advantage. “It is wise for investors to be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.” Warren Buffet Whilst it’s tempting for investors to be confident they understand market sentiment based upon market volatility and direction, there’s a simpler, more accurate, and often over-looked way to gauge market sentiment.

26 May 2023
 · 3 MIN READ

What all great investors have in common

Benjamin Graham lost around 70 per cent of his wealth in the Wall Street crash of 1929. Despite that, nearly a century later, he’s still regarded as the father of Value Investing. To provide some perspective, Graham fared better than the average punter. Within three years of ‘Black Thursday’ in 1929, the overall market had fallen by 89.2 per cent. Fortunes had been lost, and the Great Depression was well underway.

26 May 2023
 · 7 MIN READ

Are Blue Chips Still Blue?

32 years ago, everybody who held a Commonwealth Bank account received a hefty document in the mail. It was an invitation to become a shareholder in the bank, which until then had been government-owned. The minimum investment was 400 shares at a price of $5.40 – a total of $2,160. The canny people who wrote out a cheque for $2,160 and put their share certificate in the bottom drawer are today sitting on a holding worth around $52,500. That’s a 1,700 per cent return.

25 May 2023
 · 7 MIN READ

Profiting from the energy transition

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which is leading the global scientific assessment of climate change, estimates that human activities have already caused around 1°C of global warming above pre-industrial levels. If global warming continues at the current rate, the IPCC estimates it will reach 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels between 2030 and 2052.

22 May 2023
 · 7 MIN READ

Is now a good time to consider residential real estate funds?

Australian investors are well versed in the long list of ways to invest in commercial property. This explains why the commercial property investment sector is so large. The value of unlisted property trusts is estimated at $227 billion, while the listed property trust sector is valued at $144 billion (Property Council of Australia). Despite the commercial property sector’s fund raising success, few investors are aware of the emerging options to invest in funds in the residential real estate sector.

18 May 2023
 · 5 MIN READ

Risky Business – the 2023 Federal Budget

Economic forecasts are rarely accurate. Any Federal Treasurer will tell you that. Just four years ago, then-Treasurer Josh Frydenberg forecast a surplus of $7.1 billion for 2019/20. After paying for the unexpected impacts of bushfires and the Covid crisis, that predicted surplus turned into an $85 billion deficit.

12 May 2023
 · 6 MIN READ

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