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Contrarian Investing in the Age of Real-World AI

we are in the midst of profound disruption. This is likely to be beyond a typical generational disruption that happens every 20-30 years. This technological singularity is expected to cause dramatic and irreversible changes to human civilization, far beyond typical generational disruptions such as electrification, the internet, or even current generative AI.

TechnologyManaged FundShares
13 Feb 2026
 · Chris Watson & Simon Raubenheimer
 · 13 MIN READ

Contrarian Investing in the Age of Real-World AI

we are in the midst of profound disruption. This is likely to be beyond a typical generational disruption that happens every 20-30 years. This technological singularity is expected to cause dramatic and irreversible changes to human civilization, far beyond typical generational disruptions such as electrification, the internet, or even current generative AI.

TechnologyManaged FundShares
13 Feb 2026
 · Chris Watson & Simon Raubenheimer
 · 13 MIN READ

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The match of the year: Growth vs Value

Welcome to the match of the year … it’s growth versus value stocks. The audience are on the edge of their seats. Both value and growth supporters are passionate about their players, and both believe they are on the winning side. To the match … the two teams will be tested against one another on four key factors for a steer as to which style is best positioned to outperform over the remaining three quarters of 2024.

SharesInvestment ThemesInvestor Education
20 Mar 2024
 · Simon Turner
 · 7 MIN READ

Will the Fed throw kerosene onto the fire?

With global equity markets celebrating the prospect of impending rate cuts by the Fed, some investors have been wrong-footed by the extent of the recent enthusiasm, particularly in US tech stocks. If you’re underinvested and are considering joining the equity party in earnest, it’s worthwhile digging into the market’s Fed fund rate expectations for an understanding of whether market expectations are on point, or not. This situation may well dictate global and Australian equity market performance in the coming months.

MacroInvestor EducationShares
7 Mar 2024
 · Simon Turner
 · 5 MIN READ

Retail stocks shining despite bearish expectations

In a surprising turn, the retail sector has defied bleak projections this earnings season with consumers demonstrating unexpected resilience. Discretionary giants like JB Hi-Fi, Myers, Wesfarmers, Temple & Webster, Nick Scali, and Cettire witnessed significant share price gains in February following strong first-half results, signalling a departure from bearish expectations for consumer-facing stocks.

Investment ThemesShares
23 Feb 2024
 · Ankita Rai
 · 5 MIN READ

Don’t ignore the liquidity feedback loop

With the US economy and stock market continuing to drive global markets, Aussie investors increasingly need to understand what’s driving American fund flows. Spoiler alert: it’s not just corporate earnings. There are liquidity drivers at play in the US that are creating remarkably strong feedback loops with stock valuations and the broader economy. Understanding how these liquidity feedback loops work may well provide clues as to what’s coming next for global equity markets, including the ASX…

Investor EducationMacroShares
22 Feb 2024
 · Simon Turner
 · 5 MIN READ

Are small caps out of the woods?

It’s been a torrid couple of years for ASX smaller companies with most investors turning their backs on the asset class like the plague. The extent of their recent disfavour has been hard to fathom given the positive trend in equities since the pandemic. This raises the question: is now the right time to revisit small and micro caps whilst others remain fearful? To answer that, we’ll need to delve into the reasons for the recent underperformance for a steer as to what’s coming next…

Asset AllocationManaged FundShares
14 Feb 2024
 · Simon Turner
 · 8 MIN READ

Prepare for volatility

After three straight months of global equity markets rallying driven by expectations that the Fed has paused its rate raising cycle, volatility is currently unusually and arguably unsustainably low. The historical data suggests it’s unlikely this situation will continue for much longer. In short, it’s probably the right time to prepare for volatility to return in the coming weeks or months.

SharesInvestor EducationAsset Allocation
1 Feb 2024
 · Simon Turner
 · 5 MIN READ

Can retail investors overlook Temu's soaring success?

PDD, the company behind the discount-retailing app Temu, recently surpassed Alibaba to become the most valuable e-commerce player in China. In November, the market capitalisation of this Nasdaq-listed start-up reached $US195.5 billion, surpassing Alibaba's $US182.6 billion. Over the past year, PDD Holdings' stock has surged by over 70% to $US148 (as shown below), driven by robust growth in the domestic market coupled with aggressive expansion overseas, led by the US.

SharesInvestment ThemesTechnology
20 Dec 2023
 · Ankita Rai
 · 5 MIN READ

Is BNPL ready for a comeback?

The buy now, pay later sector finds itself at the centre of a perfect storm, propelled by robust Black Friday/Cyber Monday sales and the deferred implementation of BNPL laws.  Services such as Affirm, Afterpay-owner Block, and Klarna played a pivotal role, facilitating a substantial $US7.3 billion in consumer spending during the recent five-day sale event in the US. Cyber Monday alone witnessed a remarkable 43% increase in BNPL purchases compared to the previous year, according to Adobe data.

FintechSharesInvestment Themes
6 Dec 2023
 · Ankita Rai
 · 6 MIN READ

Beyond the Ozempic hype

There has been considerable hype lately surrounding the weight-loss drugs Ozempic/Wegovy which was initially designed for managing diabetes. From short sellers who believe Ozempic will disrupt competitors to endorsements by high-profile figures like Elon Musk and former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson, these slimming drugs have transcended medical circles, shaking up entire industries from biotech and healthcare to fast food.

Investment ThemesSharesHealthcare & Medical
21 Nov 2023
 · Ankita Rai
 · 5 MIN READ

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