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The Lowdown on the Recent Surge in Leverage

There’s an interesting trend afoot in global investment markets of late: appetite for leverage had risen to unusually high levels over the past couple of weeks. That may surprise you to hear given financial leverage tends to be best suited to more stable, predictable market conditions than we’ve witnessed of late. We investigate what it means for investors below…

Investment ThemesMacroInvestor Education
28 Apr 2025
 · Simon Turner
 · 4 MIN READ

The Mediocre Country Syndrome: How Australia is Positioned in this Strange New World

Amidst this strange new world of trade wars and deteriorating geopolitical relationships, Australia finds itself in a peculiar position: a land of promise and opportunity wrestling with the spectre of mediocrity at a time when competitive advantage is everything. More than ever, the country’s future depends on rising above the apathy that’s taken hold of the economy…

MacroManaged FundAsset Allocation
16 Apr 2025
 · Simon Turner
 · 6 MIN READ

What the US Sovereign Wealth Fund & Gold are warning us

You’ll have noticed that Trump’s presidency has started with Change with a capital C. He’s breaking laws, circumventing Congress, and encouraging Elon Musk to dismantle government departments. Most legal scholars agree the US is in a constitutional crisis. Amidst the chaos, Trump announced he’s introducing a Sovereign Wealth Fund. The idea has been mooted for some time so this wasn’t a surprise, but it may mean more to investors that is apparent at this juncture…

MacroCommoditiesInfrastructureMining, Resources & Energy
26 Feb 2025
 · Simon Turner
 · 6 MIN READ

Is a Volmageddon event brewing?

In the words of Russell Napier: ‘Financial history is the most important thing to study for anyone seeking to avoid the mistakes of the past.’ So what does financial history suggest may be coming in early 2025? And is a Volmageddon event (read: an extreme volatility event) brewing as a number of experts are warning? To answer those questions, we’ll focus on the main game in town, the S&P 500, since US stocks continue to drive global markets…

MacroInvestor Education
21 Jan 2025
 · Simon Turner
 · 6 MIN READ

Are markets too bullish?

It’s fair to say the S&P 500 has led global markets up a wall of worry over the past couple of years. But the S&P 500’s gradual grind higher evolved into full on market euphoria when Trump won the US election so convincingly. We all know that market euphoria tends to end in tears. The dot-com bubble was a memorable example. With those memories in mind, it’s worth asking the question: are US/global markets too bullish?

MacroInvestor EducationShares
2 Dec 2024
 · Simon Turner
 · 6 MIN READ

The ugliest two words in the dictionary

Trump talked a big game on tariffs during his journey back to the White House. ‘If I’m going to be president of this country, I’m going to put a 100, 200, 2,000 per cent tariff,’ on cars from Mexico he forewarned. He went so far as to describe tariffs ‘as the most beautiful word in the dictionary.’ Investors should prepare for two uglier words...

MacroCommoditiesInvestor Education
20 Nov 2024
 · Simon Turner
 · 6 MIN READ

A storm is brewing in the US

With the S&P 500 rallying an historic 40% over the past twelve months, you’d be forgiven for thinking all is well with the US Government’s finances. After all, the state of the world’s largest economy is inextricably connected with the US Treasury’s financial health. Sorry to shatter that illusion, but the truth is very different. Do not read what follows if you prefer to believe in the US fairy tale…

MacroInvestor EducationInvestment Themes
6 Nov 2024
 · Simon Turner
 · 6 MIN READ

Market intel from Blackrock

Blackrock’s Q4 equity outlook report contains some useful intel to help investors make sense of global markets at this juncture. With the US election looming and the Fed’s initiation of a rate cutting cycle, there’s a lot for markets to worry about and celebrate. One thing’s for sure: it’s unlikely to be a boring end to the year.

MacroInvestor EducationManaged Fund
8 Oct 2024
 · Simon Turner
 · 4 MIN READ

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