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The Bigger Picture - May 2026

April confirmed what markets had begun to suspect: the global macro backdrop has changed. Higher geopolitical risk is now structurally entrenched. Markets have quickly adjusted to this unfortunate new reality across all asset classes. Geopolitical risk has reasserted itself as a primary driver of energy prices, inflation expectations, and capital flows. Investors still anchored to the old world of low inflation, cheap money, and frictionless globalisation risk being structurally mispositioned.

3 May 2026
 · 5 MIN READ

The Bigger Picture - May 2026

April confirmed what markets had begun to suspect: the global macro backdrop has changed. Higher geopolitical risk is now structurally entrenched. Markets have quickly adjusted to this unfortunate new reality across all asset classes. Geopolitical risk has reasserted itself as a primary driver of energy prices, inflation expectations, and capital flows. Investors still anchored to the old world of low inflation, cheap money, and frictionless globalisation risk being structurally mispositioned.

3 May 2026
 · 5 MIN READ

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 · 7 MIN READ

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 · 6 MIN READ

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 · 8 MIN READ

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 · 6 MIN READ

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If you follow the news, the world is probably feeling mighty unsafe right now, with geopolitical risks dominating the headlines. Of course, the media thrives on amplifying fear, so for investors the real question isn’t whether the news headlines are dramatic. That’s always the case. It’s whether the real geopolitical risks are material, and how they might affect investors’ portfolios looking forward.

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 · 8 MIN READ

Don’t Drink Too Much of the Kool-Aid as Market Speculation Hits an Extreme

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 · 6 MIN READ