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The Bigger Picture - May 2026

April confirmed what markets had begun to suspect: the global macro backdrop has changed. Higher geopolitical risk is now structurally entrenched. Markets have quickly adjusted to this unfortunate new reality across all asset classes. Geopolitical risk has reasserted itself as a primary driver of energy prices, inflation expectations, and capital flows. Investors still anchored to the old world of low inflation, cheap money, and frictionless globalisation risk being structurally mispositioned.

3 May 2026
 · 5 MIN READ

The Bigger Picture - May 2026

April confirmed what markets had begun to suspect: the global macro backdrop has changed. Higher geopolitical risk is now structurally entrenched. Markets have quickly adjusted to this unfortunate new reality across all asset classes. Geopolitical risk has reasserted itself as a primary driver of energy prices, inflation expectations, and capital flows. Investors still anchored to the old world of low inflation, cheap money, and frictionless globalisation risk being structurally mispositioned.

3 May 2026
 · 5 MIN READ

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The Warning Lights Few Are Watching

The global equity market landscape is starting to feel a bit surreal. Key valuation metrics are flashing red, geopolitical stress is escalating, Wall Street professionals are heading for the exits, and the macroeconomic signals are anything but straightforward. Yet, global stock indices are flirting with all-time highs while retail investors appear unfazed by the mounting risks.

23 June 2025
 · 6 MIN READ

The Case for Global Diversification in a Fractured World

How fast markets change. After more than a decade of U.S. equity market dominance, the MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed markets across Europe, Australasia, and the Far East, has outperformed the S&P 500 by 15% year-to-date (as of May 1st). In a world increasingly redefined by geopolitical tensions, inflation risks, and de-globalisation, investors are rightly asking: does this dramatic trend reversal signal a longer term turning point for the relative performance of U.S. versus global markets?

2 June 2025
 · 5 MIN READ

The Lowdown on the Recent Surge in Leverage

There’s an interesting trend afoot in global investment markets of late: appetite for leverage had risen to unusually high levels over the past couple of weeks. That may surprise you to hear given financial leverage tends to be best suited to more stable, predictable market conditions than we’ve witnessed of late. We investigate what it means for investors below…

28 Apr 2025
 · 4 MIN READ

The Mediocre Country Syndrome: How Australia is Positioned in this Strange New World

Amidst this strange new world of trade wars and deteriorating geopolitical relationships, Australia finds itself in a peculiar position: a land of promise and opportunity wrestling with the spectre of mediocrity at a time when competitive advantage is everything. More than ever, the country’s future depends on rising above the apathy that’s taken hold of the economy…

16 Apr 2025
 · 6 MIN READ

What the US Sovereign Wealth Fund & Gold are warning us

You’ll have noticed that Trump’s presidency has started with Change with a capital C. He’s breaking laws, circumventing Congress, and encouraging Elon Musk to dismantle government departments. Most legal scholars agree the US is in a constitutional crisis. Amidst the chaos, Trump announced he’s introducing a Sovereign Wealth Fund. The idea has been mooted for some time so this wasn’t a surprise, but it may mean more to investors that is apparent at this juncture…

26 Feb 2025
 · 6 MIN READ