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What the bull-bear spread is telling us

Most of the world’s great investors are experts at using market sentiment to their advantage. “It is wise for investors to be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.” Warren Buffet Whilst it’s tempting for investors to be confident they understand market sentiment based upon market volatility and direction, there’s a simpler, more accurate, and often over-looked way to gauge market sentiment.

Investor EducationMacro
26 May 2023
 · Simon Turner
 · 3 MIN READ

Risky Business – the 2023 Federal Budget

Economic forecasts are rarely accurate. Any Federal Treasurer will tell you that. Just four years ago, then-Treasurer Josh Frydenberg forecast a surplus of $7.1 billion for 2019/20. After paying for the unexpected impacts of bushfires and the Covid crisis, that predicted surplus turned into an $85 billion deficit.

MacroInvestor Education
12 May 2023
 · Tom Elisson
 · 6 MIN READ

Payton Capital Quarterly Economic Outlook

The current economic environment remains uncertain. Has enough (or too much) been done by the RBA to curb inflation? How long will it take to find out? Will the unemploy- ment rate rises before inflation is controlled? Could global events swamp the best inten- tions of Australia’s central bank once again? And, are there opportunities for investors in the property sector right now?

Expert PerspectivesMacro
31 Mar 2023
 · Payton Capital
 · 11 MIN READ

The Canary in the Coal Mine

So far, 2023 hasn’t been a happy new year for workers in technology. Actually, the latter part of 2022 wasn’t too great either. As both interest rates and inflation began their upwards march, the global tech giants started trimming the size of their workforce.

MacroInvestor Education
24 Mar 2023
 · Tom Elisson
 · 5 MIN READ

The Year Ahead - What we already know

Some years ago, when the Aussie Dollar was trading at $0.88, a number of leading economists were asked for their twelve-month forecasts. One confidently said our dollar would reach parity with the US dollar within a year. Instead, the AUD finished the year 34 per cent down at $0.58. Making economic predictions is fraught with peril. Economics is more art than science, and a modern economy has many moving parts that don’t always behave rationally. Still, looking ahead in 2023, there are some things we can reasonably expect.

MacroInvestor Education
5 Jan 2023
 · Tom Elisson
 · 5 MIN READ

2022-23 Federal Budget Highlights

Federal Treasurer Josh Frydenberg has handed down the 2022-23 Federal Budget, the Government’s last before the Federal Election. This article outlines the key measures contained in the Budget including cost of living relief, infrastructure spending, and tax deductions for business.

MacroInvestor Education
11 May 2022
 · InvestmentMarkets
 · 3 MIN READ

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